Features
Economic recovery on course
Ken Ofori Attah
There is no doubt that, in spite of the current economic challenges, the government is working hard round the clock to ensure an effective economic recovery in order to make things better for Ghanaians in the country.
It is an indication of the determination of the government to surmount the obstacle that is affecting the country today. What makes us hopeful is that, in spite of the economic difficulties facing the country, developmental projects in all parts of the country are still ongoing.
Technical, Vocational, Engineering and Technology education (TVET) is going alongside the free SHS being implemented with maximum alacrity. Other projects, such as the new regional and district hospitals as well as the promotion of electricity and water in various parts of the country, among others, are ongoing. Again, electricity supply has been relatively constant compared to what was experienced previously under what became known as “Dumsor”.
In other parts of Africa, for instance, power outages have become a common phenomenon. The cases of South Africa, Nigeria and a few other African countries testify to this fact.
COUNT OUR BLESSINGS
It is for this reason that people in Ghana must be happy and hopeful for happy days ahead. We need to count our blessings one by one.
It is true that economic conditions are very tough, but from all indications, every effort is being made to bring the situation under control. The Debt Restructuring Programme by the government is meant to bring the situation under control in order to push forward positive growth and this is the reason why the government is still negotiating with its creditors to bring the debt level under control.
The Domestic Debt Exchange has been completed successfully. In the same way, efforts are also being made to enter negotiations with our foreign counterparts to bring the situation under control as far as the foreign debt level is concerned.
The debt level has gone up not because of any reckless spending. Rather, they went into the building of schools, both technical and grammar education, the provision of water and electricity for the people, the construction of roads and many others.
This is a country that has proven to be responsible as far as developmental projects are concerned. It is believed that very soon, positive economic results will be encountered.
NEGOTIATIONS ON DEBT RESTRUCTURING
Finance Minister Ken Ofori Atta went to China to have negotiations on debt restructuring with officials of that country. Sources say the Minister went via Addis Ababa, where he attended the UNECA High-Level Ministers meeting on Global Financial Architecture. After that meeting, Mr Ofori-Atta headed to China on March 22, 2023.
The Minister who led the government delegation had bilateral talks with China as well as seek financial assurances for Ghana’s programme with the International Monetary Fund. This is an indication of the great effort being made by government to normalise the economic situation of the country and make it better.
The trip was postponed to the end of March because it coincided with the National People’s Congress of China meeting in early March 2023. The Minister of Finance has already held meetings with officials of Exim Bank China in Ghana, all in the line with re-profiling the country’s debt to China.
GENERATION OF FUNDS
The government is also working hard to derive enough money from Treasury Bills in order to keep things going. We therefore need to be hopeful because all these efforts are yielding the desired results in line with the economic recovery.
The Government of Ghana secured GH¢3.88 billion from the sale of treasury bills in its latest auction held on March 10, 2023. This was an oversubscription of the GH¢1.10 billion it was targeting.
However, interest rates have dropped significantly to 18 per cent. According to the auction results from the Central Bank, the government secured GH¢2.90 billion from the 91-day bill and GH¢972.49 million from the 182-day bill. The subscriptions surpassed the government’s set target of GH¢2.775 million but it sold more than the GH¢3.31 billion secured by the government in last week’s auction. Interest rates, however, reduced to 18.52 per cent for the 91-day bill, 22.8 per cent and 21.27 per cent for the 182-day bill.
CONFIDENCE IN ECONOMY
The oversubscription is an indication of great confidence in the Ghanaian economy. If there had been no confidence, there would have been undersubscription. This goes to show, among others, that things are on course for rapid recovery.
The fall in rates has been attributed to the successful debt restructuring program. According to the government, the Domestic Debt Exchange programme has accounted for the reduction in the rate of Treasury Bills from 35 per cent to 24 per cent.
There is therefore no doubt that things are gradually stabilising and getting better. If this is the case, then let us have confidence that, as long as we are on the right path, Ghanaians will soon smile.
What we are all seeking is for inflation to fall to a level that is lower than what it is now. If this happens, and it will surely do so, the economic recovery programme will move at a faster rate than it is now.
INFLATION
Inflation could fall sharply to below 40 per cent by the end of April 2023. According to a Senior Credit Research Analyst at REDD Intelligence, Mark Bohlund, his base effects analysis indicate that “inflation will fall by more than 10 percentage points by April 2023.”
The fall in inflation will not happen by mere chance. Rather, it will come about as a result of pragmatic steps taken by the government to achieve that purpose.
“The inflation rate has declined for two straight months and may fall more sharply to below 40 per cent by the end of April due to base effects,” said Mark Bohlund, a senior credit research analyst at REDD Intelligence. Bloomberg said the Ghana cedi, which whipsawed in 2022 over concern about its ballooning debt load and then optimism about a provisional International Monetary Fund bailout, has been relatively steady this year, helping to keep inflation in check.
ECONOMY TO BOUNCE BACK
In conclusion, therefore, the economic situation being experienced in Ghana is tough, admittedly, but the government has taken the right steps to ensure that positive results are achieved as early as possible. We must all therefore be hopeful that, as President Akufo Addo has said, the economy will surely bounce back.
Ghana will not continue to stay in this economic situation. We must therefore be hopeful in light of the ongoing recovery efforts that are taking place thanks to the bold economic steps put in place by the government.
The economic recovery is surely bound to occur within a short time, so we must all support the government with prayer and action in our daily practical dealings so that things will be better for all of us.
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By Dr Kofi Amponsah-Bediako
One of the issues we have been grappling with as a nation is corruption, and it has had such a devastating effect on our national development. I have been convinced that until morality becomes the foundation upon which our governance system is built, we can never go forward as a nation.
Our traditional practices, which have shaped our cultural beliefs, have always espoused values that have kept us along the straight and the narrow and have preserved our societies since ancient times.
These are values that frown on negative habits like stealing, cheating, greediness, selfishness, etc. Our grandparents have told us stories of societies where stealing was regarded as so shameful that offenders, when caught, have on a number of instances committed suicide.
In fact, my mother told me of a story where a man who was living in the same village as her mother (my grandmother), after having been caught stealing a neighbour’s cockerel, out of shame committed suicide on a mango tree. Those were the days that shameful acts were an abomination.
Tegare worship, a traditional spiritual worship during which the spirit possesses the Tegare Priest and begins to reveal secrets, was one of the means by which the society upheld African values in the days of my grandmother and the early childhood days of my mother.
Those were the days when the fear of being killed by Tegare prevented people from engaging in anti-social vices. These days, people sleeping with other people’s wives are not uncommon.
These wrongful behaviour was not countenanced at all by Tegare. One was likely going to lose his life on days that Tegare operates, and so unhealthy habits like coveting your neighbour’s wife was a taboo.
Stealing of other people’s farm produce, for instance, could mean certain death or incapacitation of the whole or part of the body in the full glare of everybody. People realised that there were consequences for wrongdoing, and this went a long way to motivate the society to adhere to right values.
Imagine a President being sworn into office and whoever administers the oath says, “Please say this after me: I, Mr. …., do solemnly swear by God, the spirits of my ancestors and the spirits ruling in Ghana, that should I engage in corrupt acts, may I and my family become crippled, may madness become entrenched in my family, may incurable sicknesses and diseases be my portion and that of my family, both immediate and extended.”
Can you imagine a situation where a few weeks afterwards the President goes to engage in corrupt acts and we hear of his sudden demise or incapacitation and confessing that he engaged in corrupt acts before passing or before the incapacitation—and the effect it will have on his successor? I believe we have to critically examine this option to curb corruption.
My grandmother gave me an eyewitness account of one such encounter where a woman died instantly after the Tegare Priest had revealed a wrong attitude she had displayed during the performance on one of the days scheduled for Tegare spirit manifestation.
According to her story, the Priest, after he had been possessed by the spirit, declared that for what the woman had done, he would not forgive her and that he would kill. Instantly, according to my grandmother, the lady fell down suddenly and she died—just like what happened to Ananias and his wife Sapphira in Acts Chapter 5.
NB: ‘CHANGE KOTOKA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TO KOFI BAAKO
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